30% Of Virginia Primary Voters Say #NeverTrump

In a recently conducted poll released today, Virginia voters resoundingly said #NeverTrump. Almost 30% of Republican primary voters in the Commonwealth say they would vote Democrat, vote third party or sit at home if Trump is the nominee. This poll is hardly an anomaly but is especially damning coming from such a pivotal swing state.

Q6. As you know, Donald Trump is currently leading the Republican Party’s nomination race. Assuming Donald Trump is the Republican Party’s nominee for this fall’s presidential election which of these statements comes closest to your view?
(asked only of people that voted in the March 1 Republican Primary, N=453)

I will definitely vote for him

43

I will probably vote for him

24

I will vote for the other party’s candidate

13

I will vote for a 3rd Party Candidate

13

I will not vote in the election

3

DK/ref

5

The same poll finds Clinton leads Trump in the state 44%-35%.

VOTECHOICE: If the November election were held today and the candidates were Donald Trump, the Republican nominee and Hillary Clinton, the Democratic nominee for whom would you vote?

All

Rep

Dem

Ind

Male

Female

18-34

35-<

Nova

Rich

HR

S’west

Trump

35

68

3

36

43

29

28

38

29

37

35

46

Clinton

44

7

87

26

37

52

50

43

52

47

44

31

Undecided

7

8

4

11

5

8

6

7

6

7

6

9

Neither

14

16

6

27

15

10

16

12

13

9

13

14

Dk/Ref

1

1

1

1

1

2

A separate AP poll released today finds 7 out of 10 people view Trump negatively.

“Seven in 10 people, including close to half of Republican voters, have an unfavorable view of Trump, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll. It’s an opinion shared by majorities of men and women; young and old; conservatives, moderates and liberals; and whites, Hispanics and blacks — a devastatingly broad indictment of the billionaire businessman.

Even in the South, a region where Trump has won GOP primaries decisively, close to 70 percent view him unfavorably. And among whites without a college education, one of Trump’s most loyal voting blocs, 55 percent have a negative opinion.” – AP

Another fun set of polls to check out is the Real Clear Politics match up between Trump and Clinton.  Out of all 57 (I counted) head to head match ups between the 2 taken in the last year, Trump loses 52 times. Of the 5 he wins, 2 are within the margin of error. Out of every head to head match up between the 2 taken after March 17th 2016, Trump looses all by an average of 10.8%.

In Summary:

  • 7 in 10 voters view Trump negatively
  • Half of Republicans view Trump negatively
  • 30% of GOP primary voters in a pivotal swing state say they will not to vote for Trump
  • Trump looses 52 of the last 57 head to head match ups against Clinton

If Trump is the nominee, November will be a blood bath.

About the author

Philip Swicegood

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