Back before there were state primaries, “beauty contests,” frontloading, and a national media circus, the GOP used to pick nominees by each state sending their delegates pledged to a candidate favored by the state party. Many times this would be the “favorite son,” the governor or other political leader.
With the delegate situation down to two probable outcomes: Trump as nominee, or a contested convention, the last firewall to what we conservatives believe will be certain disaster is the convention itself.
In a contested convention, Rubio’s delegates come into play. Should Rubio release his delegates and endorse Ted Cruz, 98 of his 169 delegates would be free to vote as they please in the first ballot. If Trump is short by just a few delegates, it won’t take much of a free agent push to move him over the line. This is an argument for Rubio to keep his delegates pledged.
But if it appears that Trump will be well short (say, by over 100) at any point in the race, Rubio’s delegates could help Cruz on the first ballot. That scenario is increasingly unlikely given current polling, but as we always caution, things can change.
The “favorite son” in Ohio is Gov. John Kasich, who has zero chance at the nomination, but can play a despicable and corrupt king maker with his (current) 143 delegates. Kasich could drop out and release his delegates–it’s unknown how many would be able to vote unbound in the first ballot–giving Trump a boost.
There are also about 166 unbound delegates at the convention. These are unlikely to be Trump supporters.
Trump’s fans are not fans of the GOP in any sense. They don’t like the GOP. They don’t like the delegate process. They don’t like the way nominees are picked. They like Trump.
If Trump is stopped at the convention, which, if he is more than just a few delegates short of 1,237, he is unlikely to win the nomination. This will put the GOP in the position of Marie Antoinette in the days of the French Revolution. The GOP will be in the place of the corrupt and unhearing monarchy, and the Trumpkins will be the revolutionaries, with Trump as their Robespierre.
It won’t matter that many of the rules for GOP conventions have been in place for more than a century. It won’t matter that the tradition of party nominations and state delegations dates back to the beginning of the Republic. It will be Trump or the guillotine for anyone who dare opposes the new fuhrer.
This is why it’s been so important to declare–for the last month–that dedicated conservatives who see through Trump’s veil of deception will not support Trump, ever.
This is why it’s important to note that, if the GOP is crushed into the image of Trump, conservatives will emerge with whatever political alliance is required to support the movement, not become a puppet of the strongman.
This is why it’s important to understand that whoever stands with Trump after proclaiming their conservative pedigree, and plays for influence and position within a corrupted GOP, should be blacklisted from the conservative movement.
This is why it’s important to identify, right now, those who value conservative principles over raw politics. Because, when the guillotines come out (figuratively, God forbid they are real), anyone in the GOP who doesn’t stand with Trump, should he win or lose the nomination in a contested convention, will be in line for their turn under the blade.
I find that the best repellent for Trump supporters is to quote Literature. Many of them don’t get the references unless Peter Jackson or Ron Howard has made a movie out of it. Madame Defarge was killed by her own pistol, and so shall it be with the Trumpkins. And as Carton was brought to the blade, he said:
I see Barsad, and Cly, Defarge, The Vengeance, the Juryman, the Judge, long ranks of the new oppressors who have risen on the destruction of the old, perishing by this retributive instrument, before it shall cease out of its present use. I see a beautiful city and a brilliant people rising from this abyss, and, in their struggles to be truly free, in their triumphs and defeats, through long years to come, I see the evil of this time and of the previous time of which this is the natural birth, gradually making expiation for itself and wearing out.
And his final line:
It is a far, far better thing that I do, than I have ever done; it is a far, far better rest that I go to than I have ever known.
When the guillotines come out, the favorite sons and king makers will go first. And then it will be our turn, but should it come to that, we will already be moving to a far, far better place from which to rebuild the shattered Grand Old Party.