It started ugly last week.
I broke my rule of never picking my favorite team, the Baltimore Ravens, and they answered by losing in heartbreaking fashion to the Redskins. And the Bears lost by 6, one point more than I had accounted for. With an 0-2 start to the day, it was shaping up for a very bad week, but 3 wins in a row meant 3-2 and now an overall record of 12-12-1.
Let’s keep the three-game winning streak going this week:
Miami Dolphins +7 over Pittsburgh Steelers (1pmET): The Steelers, based on the eye test, are perhaps the best team in football (absent the one terrible game against the Eagles). They can beat you short and long on offense, and their defense has been excellent. So with all that said…give me the Dolphins by a touchdown at home. It’s a little counter-intuitive, but the Dolphins have played decently at home, and the Steelers are a little worse on the road. I like the Dolphins to lose by 6.
Chicago Bears -1 over Jacksonville Jaguars (1pmET): Brian Hoyer has impressed since taking over as the starting quarterback for the Bears, and while the offense is moving along steadily, they aren’t winning. I think that changes against a vulnerable Jaguars team coming off a bye. This line has shifted in the Jaguars direction to practically a pick, so take the Bears and hope John Fox can get his team on track for a much-needed win.
Philadelphia Eagles -2.5 over Washington Redskins (1pmET): This line has moved 4 points the wrong way, but I still like the Eagles to get back to their winning ways this week in Washington against division rival Redskins. You hate picking against a home underdog, but the Eagles lost despite a great game last week and they’ve been consistent on both sides of the ball so far this year. The Redskins meanwhile have miraculously pulled out a string of wins without much actual solid play. This week the division slides back to the the norm.
Oakland Raiders +1 over Kansas City Chiefs (4pmET): The Raiders are a very good team getting no love suddenly, as they are the underdogs at home this week. It’s going to be a close game, and the Chiefs are solid and coming off a bye, but the Raiders passing attack is too strong. Expect a low scoring game, and the Raiders pulling out a win by a field goal.
Indianapolis Colts +3 over Houston Texans (8:30pmET): I picked the Packers exactly by 7 last week, and improved on Sunday night to 4-1. Here’s a tough one though – both the Colts and Texans are…not good. They have some injuries throughout all sides of the ball. But the Colts have shown flashes, and when you have Andrew Luck, you can bet he’ll power his team back into it, even if they come up short. I could see this ending with the Texans winning by exactly three, and I’ll take a tie on Sunday night.