“I could see this ending with the Texans winning by exactly three, and I’ll take a tie on Sunday night.”
That’s what I wrote last week about the Sunday night game, and it ended up coming to fruition. For that exact prediction, But all I got to show for it was a tie, not a win, and an overall record for the week of just 1-3-1 (for a new total of 13-15-2). 4-1 this week? Here we go:
New York Giants -3 over Los Angeles Rams (9:30amET): We go back to London for what promises to be a better game than last one, between two teams that can put up a lot of offense and, in theory, play decent defense. The Giants are favored by three despite the same record as the Rams, but their 3-3 is going in the right direction while the Rams are slipping. With ODB back on track, the Giants should be able to do enough to win this one and get back to a winning record.
Cleveland Browns +10 over Cincinnati Bengals (1pmET): The Browns are very bad, and the Bengals are better than their record indicates. But while the Browns are winless, they have competed hard and stayed in striking distance in every game. Cody Kessler has performed better than anticipated in the starting QB role, and the defense has kept games competitive for at least three quarters. 10 points is just too much – I like the Bengals to win, but only by 4-7 points (let’s say 6 exactly).
Baltimore Ravens +2 over New York Jets (1pmET): I promised myself I’d never take the Ravens again after losing a pick AND a game from my favorite team a few weeks ago – a tough way to go. But the line here is too favorable – the Ravens getting points against the Jets is shocking. The Jets are perhaps the worst team in the NFL, on both sides of the ball, and that was before Geno Smith was handed the reins of the starting quarterback job. The Ravens have lost three in a row, but have stayed in every game, and their defense is firing on all cyclinders. The Ravens should – and will – win big.
Pittsburgh Steelers +7 over New England Patriots (4:30pmET): The Steelers have lost Ben Roethlisberger, and the Patriots are back to full strength. But the Patriots essentially getting 10 points in Pittsburgh (three for the away team penalty) is ridiculous – the Steelers are an excellent home team, and they still have incredible weapons at RB and WR. They also have Mike Tomlin, who finds a way to keep things close when it matters. The Pats are likely to win, but seven is just too many.
Seattle Seahawks +2 over Arizona Cardinals (8:30pmET): The Sunday night football games have traditionally not been particularly good football, but this one should break the mold (and trust my prediction, I’m now 4-1-1 on Sunday night!). The Cardinals have gotten back on track largely thanks to their superhuman MVP candidate David Johnson at RB, and their defense has played much better in the past couple weeks. The Seahawks running game is under control thanks to Christine Michael and Russell Wilson has played well despite clearly being injured. Their passing defense is the big differentiator though. The Seahawks should win on this big stage.