It’s June, and Hillary has not yet wrapped up the Democratic nomination. In fact, it’s possible, though implausible, that she won’t win it. Just over a month ago, we were playing these kinds of scenarios for the GOP, but Trump quickly killed all opposition and has now clinched.
[Source: Wall Street Journal]
A recent PPIC poll shows Mrs. Clinton with a 2% lead over Mr. Sanders, and a Fox News survey found the same result. Even a narrow win would give him 250 pledged delegates or more—a significant boost. California is clearly trending to Mr. Sanders, and the experience in recent open primaries has been that the Vermont senator tends to underperform in pre-election surveys and over-perform on primary and caucus days, thanks to the participation of new registrants and young voters.
To this end, data from mid-May show that there were nearly 1.5 million newly registered Democratic voters in California since Jan. 1. That’s a 218% increase in Democratic voter registrations compared with the same period in 2012, a strongly encouraging sign for Mr. Sanders.
And, this tidbit in the same article, putting the Clinton “fix” in jeopardy:
There is every reason to believe that at the convention Mr. Sanders will offer a rules change requiring superdelegates to vote for the candidate who won their state’s primary or caucus. A vote on that proposed change would almost certainly occur—and it would function as a referendum on the Clinton candidacy. If Mr. Sanders wins California, Montana and North Dakota on Tuesday and stays competitive in New Jersey, he could well be within 200 pledged delegates of Mrs. Clinton, making a vote in favor of the rules change on superdelegates more likely.
Another problem: In recent weeks the perception that Mrs. Clinton would be the strongest candidate against Donald Trump has evaporated. The Real Clear Politics polling average has Mrs. Clinton in a statistical tie with Mr. Trump, and recent surveys from ABC News/Washington Post and Fox News show her two and three points behind him, respectively.
So basically, the Democrats still have a chance to punt on Hillary, and they may–if things look really bad for her–take that option.
But there’s one thing the DNC will do as a sure bet: Take a decided stand against Israel. The Observer reported on Tuesday that the platform committee of the Democratic National Convention consists of “a mix of the overtly anti-Israel and the Israel-tolerant.”
Only former-Rep. Howard Berman [no relation] is a stalwart supporter of the U.S.-Israel relationship, but he’ll have to contend with an unprecedented anti-Israel cohort of Dr. Cornel West, Dr. James Zogby, Rep. Barbara Lee and Rep. Keith Ellison.
The only other foreign policy voice on the committee is Wendy Sherman. Prior to being relied on to save the Democratic Party from becoming an anti-Israel fever-swamp, she negotiated the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (the Iran nuclear deal) and the Agreed Framework (the North Korea nuclear deal). With that background, one would be forgiven for fearing that the result of these negotiations will be a DNC platform resembling the Hamas charter. Not because she’ll want it to, but because turning bad ideas into worse realities is her specialty.
West is a BDS (Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions) supporter who said of Israel’s handling of the Palestinian territories, “the Israeli occupation is ugly, it’s vicious, it’s brutal, and it needs to not just be brought to attention, it needs to be brought to an end.”
Zogby is an adviser to Bernie Sanders, who has compared the Holocaust to Israel’s treatment of the Palestinians, calling Israelis “Nazis.” Nice. Rep. Ellison holds Israel in the same light as South Africa and Northern Ireland. He also speaks well of the Iranians. “They’re not messianic crazy people running Iran… They gained support whipping up hate and hostility against the United States, Israel, and the West in general,” he said. “That’s just typical pandering; we might see that anywhere.”
Of course. Ellison believes we should never take the Ayatollahs at their word when they threaten to wipe Israel off the map.
Last go-around in Charlotte, we saw the Democrats boo God and resort to parliamentary chicanery to get anything pro-Israel back into their platform. This year in Philadelphia, we may not see Hillary emerge victorious–there’s a small chance. But there’s absolutely no chance Israel will be given a fair hearing in the city of brotherly love.