You Can’t Complain About Liberal Media Bias Again, Ever

Without fail, every day I post about the Russian government’s propaganda campaign to influence voters, I am told:

“There’s no evidence of a single changed vote.”

When I clarify I never claimed a vote was physically altered, they counter:

“There’s no proof of a single voter changing their vote because of it.”

If propaganda and misleading information have no effect on voters, then all political campaigns, dishonest advertising, and even the “liberal media bias” has no effect whatsoever, on anyone. This also means that logically-speaking, all campaign finance laws are moot, since they needlessly try to avoid something that has no effect on voters.

Right?

The featured photo above is beyond ironic, in that case.

So, don’t ever complain about bias again, ever. If you do, I’m going to ask you:

“Is there evidence of a single changed vote?”

When you object to the question, I’m going to clarify:

“There’s no proof of a single voter changing their vote because of ‘fake news.'”

If this is true, what are you worried about then?

Democrats Seethe After Georgia, But Still Don’t Get It

The New York Times ran a typically tone-deaf, if not revealing assessment of the state of their own Democrat Party following the special election loss in the Georgia runoff recently.

As is typical in the New York Times, the Democrats writing the piece embedded with half-truths like attributing Jon Ossoff’s fundraising to “small donations” but not mentioning that he set a record for out-of-state dollars with only 3.5% of his money coming from within the district. Nor do they mention that Ossoff was careful to never directly attack Trump, instead running as a moderate Republican to try to win the seat. That would seem to be an important point when trying to make the case that an Ossoff victory would have been an “emphatic statement about the weakness of the Republican Party under President Trump.”

But aside from the typical Times shenanigans that you just have to expect when you try sifting through their coverage, the article did touch on the “seething” dissent that is being experienced within the Democrat Party. More than one Democrat lawmaker expressed desire for new leadership, meaning they want to give Nancy Pelosi the boot:

Representative Seth Moulton, Democrat of Massachusetts, said the defeat was “frustrating” and urged a shake-up at the top of the party. “Our leadership owes us an explanation,” said Mr. Moulton, who voted against Ms. Pelosi in the last leadership election. “Personally, I think it’s time for new leadership in the party.”

What’s peculiar is that Moulton didn’t voice opposition to the new leadership of his party’s national committee. Tom Perez has been an abject disaster for the public relations of the party, suggesting that no pro-life Democrat need apply for any open position, and that cursing their way back to power was the best course of action.

And while we’re at it, the problem extends beyond Democrat lawmakers and party leaders. It’s also the messaging of the party’s public spokesmen in media. When a wealthy white man defeated female Hillary Clinton for the presidency, feminists were outraged. When female Karen Handel defeated a wealthy white man for a congressional seat, feminists were outraged. It belies the entire movement and Americans see it and tire of it.

And the Times itself is culpable. The day before they ran this article on Democrat seething, they ran Democrat author Jill Filipovic’s assertions that excused her party and blamed the voters:

“At what point is this not a failure of Democrats, but toxic, vindictive voters willing to elect hateful bigots?”

She really wrote that. Karen Handel is a “hateful bigot.” Why? Because she disagrees with Jill Filipovic? Because she’s a Republican? And there was more:

“Maybe instead of trying to convince hateful white people, Dems should cater to our base – ppl of color, women – to turn out. Cater to them.”

This is the kind of identity politics, the kind of divisive nonsense that has overtaken the Democrat Party. It’s become engrained in their DNA, and until there’s a purge of that bloodstream of hatred and dismissal of anyone who doesn’t think like them, it’s not likely to get better.

But don’t expect to see the Times cover that angle.

New Poll Shows Americans Becoming More Liberal On Social Issues

 

The federal government might have moved to the right with the election of Donald Trump, but a new poll shows that the country is drifting further left on moral issues. The poll by Gallup shows that Americans are the most liberal that they have ever been on a host of issues.

Of the 19 topics polled, Gallup reports that 10 were at the most liberal or permissive points on record. These include birth control, divorce, sex between unmarried people, gay or lesbian relations, having a baby outside of marriage, doctor-assisted suicide, pornography and polygamy.

Conversely, two topics were also at historic lows for approval. Fewer Americans than ever before approve of the death penalty and medical testing on animals.

Gallup notes that the leftward trend is not new. The poll has shown a liberal shift in 2014 and 2015. None of the issues polled has shown a conservative trend in that time.  Gay/lesbian relations show a 23-point increase in approval since the question was first asked. Having a baby outside of wedlock, sex outside of marriage, divorce and polygamy also show double-digit increases in approval. Only one issue, medical testing on animals, shows a double-digit decrease in approval.

The issue with the highest approval rating was birth control, which had support from 91 percent of respondents. Divorce and sex between unmarried adults also had approval from more than two-thirds of those polled (73 and 69 percent respectively).

The most unpopular issue was extramarital affairs, which had the approval of only nine percent. Cloning humans (14 percent) and polygamy (17 percent) rounded out the bottom three. The 17 percent approval for polygamy represented a record high.

Abortion is still one of the most divisive issues in the country. Forty-three percent consider abortion to be morally acceptable while 49 percent disagree. Approval for abortion has increased by one point since the question was first asked.

The poll underscores the difficulty Republicans face on moral issues. While the Republican economic message seems to resonate with many voters, those same voters tend to lean Democrat on social issues. While conservatives are holding ground on abortion, they are losing the culture war on a great many other issues.

There are two potential strategies for dealing with the liberal trends on social issues. The first and most obvious way would be for Republicans to deemphasize social issues and concentrate on their economic agenda. This strategy may partly explain the victory of Donald Trump in northern, socially liberal states. A GOP that takes this course might look more libertarian in the future.

A second alternative would be for conservatives to make the case for their moral viewpoint. In a nation that is increasingly secular, simply stating that something is wrong because the Bible says so is not an effective tactic. Instead, conservatives should take a practical, evidence-based approach that says, for example, that having children outside of marriage is wrong because it makes it more likely that they will grow up in poverty. The Breakpoint ministry, founded by Chuck Colson, has done of excellent job of explaining the Christian – not necessarily conservative – worldview for decades.

Because many liberal viewpoints are destructive economically and culturally, the move left also signals that, as Chuck Colson was fond of saying, salvation will not arrive on Air Force One. Without a change in social strategy from Republicans, increasingly liberal moral views may provide Democrats with an opportunity for a political comeback while at the same time making many national problems, such as the entitlement crisis, worse. Without a change in national attitudes at the grassroots level, lasting conservative reform will be impossible to achieve.

Let’s See What Else Trump Can Veer Left On

“Expect that by November, you will see the real Donald Trump, from a political viewpoint. He’s always been a liberal.”

Donald Trump ran his primary campaign on Making America American Again. This meant kick out the illegal Mexicans, stop Muslim immigration, quit making bad “deals” with China, and make our allies pay for our protection. Fact: There’s absolutely no way Trump can win the general election with those positions.

In February, I outlined Trump’s plan to win the White House, which involved running to the left of every GOP candidate in the race. By necessity that means running to the left of Trump himself, but that’s no problem for a chameleon. I wrote “you won’t see the same Donald Trump, who said ‘I am very capable of changing to anything I want to change to.'”

Trump will run to the left of every GOP candidate in the race right now, and will out-conspiracy Sanders, and out-lie Hillary (if that’s even possible). He will appear the least scary choice of them all, sane, sober, and liberal as hell with an (R) after his name.

Trump has already backed down on immigration. At a friendly town hall hosted by extra-friendly Sean Hannity, Trump said “there certainly can be a softening” on deporting illegal immigrants who have “contributed to society.” Trump, the old softie, has gone soft on immigration.

Now, the wall. Hannity threw a softball (is there any other kind?) and asked how long the wall will take to build. The answer was “almost immediately,” with a twist. Trump veered into how environmental impact statements got in the way when they tried to build a wall “like in ’06.” Hannity volunteered that a turtle got in the way.

Without really answering, Trump went on about the wonderful Border Patrol that endorsed him (actually, it was the National Border Patrol Council, a union, not the federal agency itself). But what’s a little over-exaggeration between friends?

Given that Trump will have to move left on practically every issue, or suffer a humiliating landslide on November 8, let’s look at what else he can “soften.”

Mexico paying for the wall. Trump’s official position is to blackmail Mexico by banning people from wiring money from the U.S. to Mexico. He would require a document establishing citizenship to move money outside the U.S. Let’s start off with the fact that federal courts would likely block this. One other way Trump said he’d use to get Mexico to cough up cash was the threat of tariffs. To do this, he’d almost certainly have to violate NAFTA.

What Trump will do: Expect Trump to mention that he will uphold the law and respect the courts (he’s already made mention of this). He may even mention treaties–until he can renegotiate them, during which the Mexican government would tell him where he can stick it and how far up.

Second Amendment. Trump’s official position on gun ownership and law & order is actually pretty decent. The “put more people in prison” approach probably isn’t a good message for African-Americans, though.

“Look at how much African American communities are suffering from Democratic control. To those I say the following: What do you have to lose by trying something new like Trump? What do you have to lose?” he asked. “You live in your poverty, your schools are no good, you have no jobs, 58 percent of your youth is unemployed. What the hell do you have to lose?”

This message is more bait for college-educated whites who live in white communities than it is a real message for the African-American community. We’re not living in Reconstruction or the Great Migration where sharecroppers starved on white plantations. Most Black Americans live as well as whites of similar education, and the 58 percent unemployment figure includes every high school student.

What Trump will do: Trump will admit that law and order depends on trust, and that enforcing existing laws might require some changes to federal firearm laws, including tweaking background checks. Watch for him to advocate closing the so-called “gun show loophole” then walk it back halfway.

Health care. Trump has run on repealing Obamacare. It’s going to have to be essentially repealed anyway, even by Hillary, because it has failed. By the end of 2017, there won’t be enough choice in many states to maintain a solvent risk pool, meaning that premiums could theoretically increase to infinity. Just repealing Obamacare won’t mean a hill of beans. Trump’s official position is very similar to the Republican Study Committee’s plan from 2015.

But Trump’s a softie on health care.

What Trump will do: He’ll punt. He will delegate the entire mess to Congress. Watch for him to throw it at his running make, Mike Pence, and Speaker Paul Ryan. He’ll basically say, “this is an issue for Congress, and I trust my Republican partners there.” This is code for “there’s no frigging way this will make it through a Democrat-controlled Senate, so I’m going to play for a loss.”

China. Trump praised the Chinese in his answer on when he will build a wall. “And you think of China and the south China sea. They’re building this massive fort res. They’re building this, and they’re digging and digging. They said it on Sunday and on Monday morning, they started.” Very efficient, those Chinese.

Here’s Trump’s official position on China:

We have been too afraid to protect and advance American interests and to challenge China to live up to its obligations. We need smart negotiators who will serve the interests of American workers – not Wall Street insiders that want to move U.S. manufacturing and investment offshore.

There’s only one way to get China’s attention, and that’s gunboat diplomacy. Trump’s idea about declaring them a currency manipulator is foolhardy. Doing so would cause an enormous market crash as the Chinese divest their dollars. Hundreds of billions of investor dollars would vanish.

The other big issue with China is intellectual property theft. That’s absolutely a major issue, but it seems that Apple and other large manufacturers have gotten around it–for the most part. But let’s face it, China isn’t going to change unless we park a few aircraft carriers in the Taiwan Strait and shoot down a couple of Shenyang J-16’s. Then they’ll listen.

What Trump will do: Trump won’t go the gunboat diplomacy route. Expect him to blather on about how he will negotiate with the Chinese, and how he gets along with everyone. But the big thing will be his focus on keeping markets stable. Watch Trump to pivot on markets, and try to assuage fears that a Trump presidency will cause massive instability.

He will stand shoulder-to-shoulder with someone like Tom Farley, president of the NYSE, which is owned by EuroNext.

Social agenda. Trump has already signaled his social agenda: Abortion is fine because being pro-life is a personal issue. Transgender bathroom access is a distraction. Gay marriage–NTTAWTT. Religious freedom means attend the church of your choice, and leave the governing to us. This is all perfectly acceptable to most American liberals.

Inequality and opportunity. Watch for Trump to make a major (meaning teleprompter) speech (or during a debate with Hillary) about American opportunity. He will declare that economic inequality is immoral and wrong. He will talk about the disproportionate distribution of capital. He will talk about educational opportunity, student loan debt, and helping those who have been harmed by the policies of the Democrats over the last 50 years. He will sound almost like Lyndon B. Johnson, promising a Great Society.

These are all issues that resonate with liberals, and Trump will make a play for them. By November, he will want (at least for one day) everyone to forget that he’s said all those racist things.

Trump is not a racist. Before November, Trump will surround himself with minorities. Watch, he’s doing it.

Trump is planning trips to urban areas — with stops at churches, charter schools and small businesses in black and Latino communities — and is developing an empowerment agenda based on the economy and education, aides said. Under consideration is an early September visit to Detroit, where retired neurosurgeon and former Republican primary rival Ben Carson would guide him on a tour of the impoverished neighborhoods where he grew up.

Trump’s team also hopes to exploit what the campaign’s internal poll of black voters nationally shows to be a potential vulnerability for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton once voters are informed of the crime policy record of former president Bill Clinton, according to two Trump associates.

The only thing you won’t see Trump do in the next 75 days is release his tax returns. Expect that by November, you will see the real Donald Trump, from a political viewpoint. He’s always been a liberal.