Dems Embrace Conspiracy GA-6 Was Rigged by Russians, Ignoring DNC Actual Rigging

Democrats poured something like $50 million dollars last spring into Georgia’s 6th CD special election to replace–ahem–Tom Price. The young guy who nobody now remembers, Jon Ossoff, lost to veteran Karen Handel, who was quickly sworn in.

Back then, there were conspiracy speculations by various unreliable and nefarious left-wing publications, notably the Washington Post, that the only reason Handel won was because the Russians hacked the election (and the November 2016 election too).

Fast forward to a few weeks ago, when it was revealed that a compromised server containing Georgia election records was wiped by IT staff. This prompted Georgia Attorney General Sam Olens to quit his defense of Secretary of State Brian Kemp (who is running for governor)’s office in a lawsuit involving the server.

The lawsuit by accountability group Coalition for Good Governance and the Constitution Party of Georgia alleges that the state’s electronic voting machines are hopelessly vulnerable to hacking. As part of that suit, a server run Kennesaw State University’s Center for Election Systems was cited as having “a gaping security hole” that wasn’t fixed for six months after it was reported.

Now that server is, umm, blank, like Hillary Clinton’s. Except the FBI seems to have an “image” of the server. And Kemp claims that KSU’s IT staff doesn’t work for him, and were following their own procedures dealing with vulnerabilities. I guess nobody told them the server was needed for a lawsuit.

Anyhow…

Rep. Hank Johnson has told local Atlanta TV station 11Alive that Ossoff’s loss must have been Russian hackers throwing the race to Republicans.

“A difference of about 3200 votes,” recalled US Rep. Hank Johnson. The Democrat had employed Ossoff as a congressional aide. Ossoff stayed consistently ahead in most polls leading up to the runoff – then lost on election night.

“I think it’s quite possible that Jon Ossoff won that election and the election was stolen from him. That’s my suspicion,” Johnson said Monday.

Russians messed with fake news and both presidential campaigns, Ossoff lost in a district that has a massive GOP tilt and an election data server was wiped: Ipso facto, the election was rigged. And Pizzagate is real. And they’re turning the frogs gay.

But in fact, for real rigging they need look no further than the DNC, which rigged Hillary Clinton’s nomination tighter than a racing yacht in a regatta.

Jon Ossoff lost because he wasn’t a good enough candidate to beat Handel. He couldn’t overcome “dude, you don’t live in the district.” Handel has lived there 25 years, won an election as Georgia Secretary of State (ironically, the position held by Kemp), lost a race for governor, and a race for U.S. Senator. Ossoff’s greatly padded resume only beat George Papadopoulos’s by a hair (Ossoff was an actual Congressional intern versus a model UN participant).

Hillary Clinton bought and paid for the DNC, and by extension she bought and paid for the nomination. She and the DNC bought and paid for the Trump “dossier.” There’s more evidence to speculate that Hillary bought and paid for Loretta Lynch to rig her non-indictment than there is that GA-6 was thrown by the Russians.

Hell, there’s more evidence that Maggie Hassan stole the NH Senate seat from Kelly Ayotte than there is of Russians handing Handel the Georgia race.

But truthers are gonna truth, and Democrats are going to scream “Russia.” That is, until they are in the White House to do their own Kremlin deals.

Thanks To 716, Democrats Have 41 Votes To Filibuster Gorsuch

Democrats have mustered 41 votes, the number required to block cloture and keep a filibuster going against Judge Neil Gorsuch’s confirmation. We have the number 716, and President Trump, to thank for this.

If Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell backs down on his threats to use the “nuclear option” to change Senate rules and remove the filibuster from Supreme Court justice confirmation votes, we know who to blame. Besides McConnell that is.

The closest senate race in 2016 was between incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte and Democrat Governor Maggie Hassan in New Hampshire. The race came down to 716 votes out of 737,772 cast, with $100 million spent between the two candidates. Ayotte lost her seat by half the number of votes than Hillary Clinton carried the state; it amounted to 0.09 percent.

Ayotte went on to take a seat on News Corp’s board of directors today. Hassan took over the senate seat.

Were it not for then-candidate Donald Trump’s trolling of Ayotte, she very well could have kept her seat. “We need loyal people in this country. We need fighters in this country. We don’t need weak people,” Trump told the Washington Post in August. “We have enough of them. We need fighters in this country. But Kelly Ayotte has given me zero support, and I’m doing great in New Hampshire.”

Trump lost in N.H., and so did Ayotte. Hassan has pledged to stand with her Democratic Party and uphold a filibuster. Were that seat not flipped, Democrats would have 40 votes, not enough to stop cloture, and there would be no need for McConnell to go nuclear.

The next time a Democrat is in the White House (don’t think that won’t happen), and a far-left activist judge is nominated to the Supreme Court to legislate new “rights” from Constitutional “penumbras” and “emanations” made from whole cloth, and we have no filibuster, we know who to blame.

If McConnell fails to go nuclear, and the best qualified originalist judge since the late Antonin Scalia is not confirmed, we know who to blame.

I can’t blame Kelly Ayotte. She ran an exemplary campaign. Her only mistake was voicing support for Donald Trump, thinking that possibly he would return the favor. Although he eventually endorsed her, it was a weak and limp gesture.

Trump cost Ayotte the race, and now the GOP–and the country, possibly–has to pay for those 716 votes.

Sen. Maggie Hassan Cites ‘Fake News’ As Fact In Kelley Confirmation Hearing

It’s a banner day for freshman Democratic senators imitating their party’s mascot. This one is by newly minted Sen. Maggie Hassan, formerly the governor of New Hampshire, who stole bought Republican Kelly Ayotte’s seat by a mere 716 votes ($139,664 per vote).

Hassan cited the debunked and retracted Washington Post story about Burlington Electric being targeted by the Russians.

“Two weeks ago The Washington Post reported that a hacking group connected with the Russian government managed to infiltrate the Burlington Electric power company in Vermont,” Hassan said to retired Marine Gen. John Kelley during his confirmation hearing to head the Department of Homeland Security.

What make this deliciously ironic is that I literally just this morning published a fairly comprehensive story on grid security and that Post story. Unlike Hassan, I spent days doing actual research for the story. I interviewed utility company executives, called industry groups for comment, and read technical documentation. You know, journalist stuff.

But I’m not a U.S. Senator, who can just spout fake news like it’s true.

Ayotte Loses By The Most Expensive 716 Votes Ever

These might be the most expensive votes ever bought. New Hampshire Gov. Maggie Hassan, with 100 percent reporting, leads incumbent Republican Kelly Ayotte for her U.S. Senate seat by just 716 votes out of a total of 737,772 votes cast.

That’s 0.09 percent in a race that has spent a gobsmacking $100 million in campaign funds. It works out to $139,664 per vote for the margin between Hassan and Ayotte.

It came down to the wire. In a state where Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump by a mere 1,437 votes, the Democrats were able to just squeak Hassan over the wire.

[** UPDATE **] Ayotte has conceded the race, so the 716 votes are enough. There will be no recount.

According to Politico, candidates in New Hampshire can request a recount as long as the difference between winner and loser is less than 20 percent of the total votes in the towns where the election is contested. Without going through the whole list of N.H.’s 300 voting precincts (for such a tiny state, elections are operated a the most local level possible), it’s evident that Ayotte can request a fair number of recounts, possibly 100 or more.

She’ll probably focus on certain communities with a high number of absentee ballots, or results that don’t match the presidential or registered voter rolls of who showed up. For example, in Stratham, Ayotte lost by 60 votes, while Trump lost by 588 votes. It’s unlikely she’d pick up any there. But in Swanzey, Ayotte lost by 160 votes, while Trump won by 21 votes. Enough of those reverse split ticket discrepancies may find some votes.

It might be a given to recount in some of the larger cities like Manchester or Nashua, where Hassan won by hundreds (or thousands) of votes. We likely won’t know the results of any recount for days.

But at this point, it appears Ayotte, in the slimmest of margins, lost the most expensive political race in New Hampshire (and one of the most expensive Senate races, period) history.

All The Canaries Are Dead

New Hampshire is, historically and demographically, the GOP’s canary in the coal mine. And all the canaries are dead.

Let me explain…or rather, let Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight explain:

[New Hampshire] is more “elastic” than other swing states. By elastic — the way I’m using the the term is borrowed from economics — I mean that it tends to swing more with the national trends. Specifically, New Hampshire has an elasticity score of 1.19, which means that for every point that the national polls move, we’d expect New Hampshire to move by 1.19 points in the same direction. Thus, if there’s a 5-point shift back toward Trump nationally, we’d expect New Hampshire to swing by slightly more than that, by around 6 points instead.

In college (at the University of New Hampshire, where I minored in economics), I learned that price inelasticity is a consumer’s tendency to stick with a brand regardless of price. Like Tide detergent or Coca-Cola. So when you see Coke price itself to a point where buyers are starting to bail, that’s bad news, industry-wide (or good news for Pepsi).

Clinton has between a 9 and 14 point lead in New Hampshire. Given that the polls are not rigged (and the election is not rigged*), and that Sen. Kelly Ayotte has spent the last year distancing herself from Trump, you’d expect the popular Republican to hold her own against Democrat challenger and sitting Governor Maggie Hassan.

And Ayotte was doing well, until recently. Then Trump offered a weak endorsement. After that, the media felt free to plumb the depths of just how nice Ayotte could be to Trump (who doesn’t return that favor). On October 3, in a debate with Hassan, Ayotte was asked of Trump if she would “point to him as a role model” for a child.

Her unfortunate answer: “Absolutely, I would do that.” It’s almost as if moderator Chris Ryan knew Trump was about to be tied to his [unmentionable]-grabbing remarks with Billy Bush. But of course, how would he know in advance?

Hassan is now running this ad all over N.H. television, and the polls reflect the damage.

Hassan is now up between 1 and 7 points in the last two polls. FiveThirtyEight gives Hassan a 65.8 percent chance of winning what should have been a safe senate seat from a popular Republican.

As New Hampshire goes, so goes the nation. If the highly elastic presidential polling has moved the down ballot race in the Granite State, imagine what it’s doing in other key senate races that are more positively correlated to the top of the ticket.

The highest probability event based on FiveThirtyEight’s model is that Democrats take control 51 to 49.

538-senate-10-21

The White House is pretty well lost. And now the Senate is sinking under the weight of Trump’s anchor. Thanks, Republicans. Well played.


*New Hampshire doesn’t run elections like other states. Instead of voting by county, each city or town (no matter how small) has their own election officials. This makes it, to say the least, interesting when obtaining results. I know because I helped cover the state for the primary in February working with Decision Desk HQ. It also makes N.H. especially resistant to election rigging since there are so many voting precincts. Believe me, it’s not rigged, and the polls are accurate. Trump is simply that bad.