The Kerry Coattails

According to Greg Pierce:

Ace election tracker Stuart Rothenberg says he doesn’t see any anti-Bush or anti-Republican mood in the country that would lead to significant Democratic gains in the House this November.

In his latest congressional-election outlook, Mr. Rothenberg also says that “John Kerry isn’t likely to be an asset for Democratic House candidates in the South or in Republican-leaning districts.”

“Since few incumbents seem at great risk right now, and few open seats are expected to switch party, the outlook for the cycle as a whole is for relatively small net partisan change,” he says in the Rothenberg Political Report.

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Erick Erickson

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