Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia speaks during a ceremony naming a courtroom at The John Marshall Law School after former Supreme Court Justice Arthur J. Goldberg Friday, Sept. 28, 2012 in Chicago. (AP Photo/M. Spencer Green)

The Scalia Factor With Undecided Voters

Last night in Atlanta, I hosted a panel of undecided voters. These voters had come together through surveys two months ago. The voters were divided up between men and women, ages, incomes, and geographic areas. Two months ago we had forty. Last night, eighteen made it back.

Of the eighteen who came back, six had gone for Cruz, two for Rubio, one for Trump, and nine remained undecided. Of the undecided remaining, eight leaned toward Cruz, but one was firmly undecided between Rubio and Cruz.

Of those who had broken to Cruz, three of them did so because of Scalia’s passing and the other three had locked their vote in for Cruz because of Scalia’s passing.

Of the undecideds who were not committed, but leaning to Cruz, almost all of them said the Scalia death was leaning them toward Cruz.

Interestingly, though one of the undecided voters had gone to Trump, the rest of the panel was adamantly against him. One gentleman had been on the fence between Cruz and Trump, but he said Trump’s profanity and attacks on President Bush finally made him decide he won’t support Trump, though he is not yet committed to Cruz.

The women in the audience were most adamantly against Trump, though all said they were glad he was in the race because otherwise some important issues would not be talked about, e.g. immigration and refugees.

Lastly, a gentleman said his big concern about Trump was Trump’s supposed conservatism. He said he did not know if Trump really had a “road to Damascus” moment or just converted because he was dating the preacher’s daughter. He suspected the latter and therefore wouldn’t be going with Trump.

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Erick Erickson

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