This Polling Is Not Really Relevant

The CNN/ORC poll is out with this bit of data.

Donald Trump will become president Friday with an approval rating of just 40%, according to a new CNN/ORC Poll, the lowest of any recent president and 44 points below that of President Barack Obama, the 44th president.

So? Trump lost the popular vote (but take out California and New York and he won the popular vote) and the media frenzy since the election has been overwhelmingly negative. His own tweets have stirred up people, but also caused his most vocal defenders to become more defensive.

Trump won the election, but he lost the popular vote. If we are doing popular vote polls, I would expect this. But how is Trump polling in the swing states. I suspect we are all going to need to reassess polling. These sorts of polls no longer seem appropriate and I suspect they are no longer being used inside Trump Tower.

It does no good to say Trump is losing the popular vote nationwide in a poll, or that most voters view him negatively. They did before the election too. They did on Election Day too. He still won. Shaping news coverage based on these polls now seems outmoded.

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Erick Erickson

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